Monday, July 16, 2018

Left vs Right Distribution

From Chimpanzee
"Laurie, I do agree that Trump is worse than Obama ever was. However as for Tribe Liberal and Tribe Conservative... I see pretty much no difference in their wall building and feces throwing. That is why the bi-modal humps are pretty much equal and opposite." G2A
 
"I would say left and right are not the same. The left is maybe split 50-50 between far left (Bernie supporters) and moderate left (Hillary supporters) If there was a lefty president as bad as Trump most of the left would not support that person.
 
I think the far right makes up 90% of GOP voters and those are the people who continue to support Trump. The moderate right is only about 10% of GOP voters. I would put John in this group in spite of some of his extreme views.
 
I would assign the percentages I mentioned to dem and GOP leaders as well.
  • far left 50% of DEMs in congress
  • far right 90% of GOP in congress
I am very disgusted with GOP leaders who continue to support Trump" Laurie
Now let's look at some graphs of actual distribution data...







Trump Putin's Unhealthy Bromance

From Sean... And I agree with him that something is truly wrong with Trump when it comes to Russia...
"I love how we just glided past the fact that Friday's indictments added a ton of useful data points regarding potential Trump collusion with the Russians.
 
The timing on the actions taken by the Russians is remarkable. Three of the main events chronicled in the indictment line up with these three events:
  • Paul Manafort taking over the reins of the Trump campaign in March-April
  • The Don Jr. Trump Tower meeting in June
  • Trump's July call for Russia to locate Hillary's so-called "missing e-mails".
Good Lord, just watch that Trump-Putin press conference. Something is seriously amiss.  Putin couldn't even give a denial when asked if the Russians had compromising material on Trump. Trump couldn't even muster up any sort of condemnation for anything Russia had done. Not Crimea. Not shooting down the Malaysian plane. Not election interference. Not bombing Syrian civilians. Not killing people in Britain with nerve agents. Not even a general complaint about Russian civil rights abuses. "
WAPO Coverage
The Hill Coverage
Daily News Coverage
CNN Brennan Response
Reuters Graham Response
CNN Trumps Worst Tweet
Fox News Blames US

I have to wonder what Putin has on our lead Chimpanzee or if Trump is truly reacting to Putin "alpha male" signals...  May be Trump will stand trail for treason rather than collusion?

Sunday, July 15, 2018

Is Trump The Head Chimpanzee?

Eric Black at MinnPost may have explained the Trump and Trump True Believer phenomenon...
Instead, Edsall, who loves to turn to scholars for understanding, asked a psychology professor, Northwestern University's Dan McAdams, for help in understanding this big gap:

Trump personifies an approach to leadership that many men find deeply appealing. It is a primal appeal to social dominance. Everybody — men and women — knows that social status can be seized through physical power and threat; the strongest, biggest, and boldest may lord it over the rest of us. But boys and men have more direct experiences of this kind of thing growing up — on the playground, for example, in gym class, in the military, and in various other socialization venues wherein male strength and bravura are praised and deeply prized, even as they also evoke fear and submission.” 
McAdams cited the comments of the primatologist Jane Goodall, who compared Trump’s behavior to that of a chimpanzee. 
“In many ways the performances of Donald Trump remind me of male chimpanzees and their dominance rituals,” Goodall told James Fallows, a writer for The Atlantic in 2016.  “In order to impress rivals, males seeking to rise in the dominance hierarchy perform spectacular displays: stamping, slapping the ground, dragging branches, throwing rocks. The more vigorous and imaginative the display, the faster the individual is likely to rise in the hierarchy, and the longer he is likely to maintain that position.”
Thoughts? 

Are Americans Happy?

Over at How Gullible are Trump True Believers, Sean and Hiram noted many of Trump's ethical, moral, behavioral, and other failings. Which I for the most part agree with.


However I made the point that most Americans will not care as long as Trump gets result and keeps them happy.  Which I think he is so far, to which Sean asked for a source.


Here are a couple good indicators.


Gallup Satisfaction with the USA









Thursday, July 12, 2018

How Gullible are Trump True Believers?

Now Trump has a habit of:
  • Claiming that things are TERRIBLE
  • Then claiming that HE FIXED IT
And I am really curious if the Trump True Believers swallow this manipulation hook, line and sinker?


I mean he escalated the conflict with North Korea and then claimed that he fixed it...  And now North Korea is blowing us off and is critical of US demands.


He insists that the NATO Nations were free loaders...  And then insists he fixed it, while everyone else denies any change.


And the list goes on and on...


I have to believe that his blatant method works though...  I often ask Trump True Believers about what Trump has accomplished and they start almost glowing with joy at "all he has accomplished". And they get angry when I ask then to list some of the real changes / improvements.


Please remember that I do believe he is accomplishing some good and bad things. I am just amazed at the cult of personality thing.




Monday, July 9, 2018

What to Pay / Accept?

Moose and I started to discuss how a person's compensation and benefits should be determined. I of course argue that "the market" is the only real way to determine the value of anything. Since "value" varies depending on what the "buyer" thinks the person, item, service is worth. Where as Moose seems to think...
"It's interesting that you agree with the idea that you don't deserve time off because you're a person, but because it may be good for the company's bottom line.

Yes, it's the contract. But let's not pretend that the people who pay you have based this benefit on some sort of objective morality." Moose
Now as I noted in the previous comments, I am a big fan of Employment at Will. Which simply means that the employer and employee enter into a relationship that is mutually beneficial to each of them. And when either party gets a better offer, they can sever the relationship to pursue the new course.

I personally am not even sure what an "objective morality" is? Though through our government our society does set social norms via employment law. Of course these are very subjective in nature, since "the people" in essence vote for or against them. Here are some questions I posed that Moose neglected to try to answer.
"If you could get the same apartment / home for half the price... Would you take it? 

American consumers who insist that American Unions / Workers should be supported and paid well choose to buy high foreign content products and services daily, thereby weakening domestic unions, reducing the number of US jobs and lowering wages. 
Are these customers just focused on their bottom line?

Or is it just how markets work?

Who is willing to pay more than they need to for a product or service? What is their rationale?" G2A

Thai Cave Rescue

CNN Thai Cave Rescue


Now I am happy that the boys are being rescued...  However enough with the non-stop news coverage... :-)  What is it with a "rescue story" that draws audiences?


There are efforts going on around the world to save many more lives that will never make the evening news, and yet this story is on non-stop whereas we will never hear about the others.

Tuesday, July 3, 2018

What is Diversity?

The SCOTUS Dues Post took a turn. Sean and I started discussing what is diversity.
"Not just those in very homogeneous high population density communities." G2A
 
"You're suggesting that urban areas are, on the whole, less diverse? Source, please." Sean
 
"I'll have to do some looking... In this case I am thinking "diversity of political philosophy, not race"... Now I know you are obsessed with race and sexual orientation, however that really does not matter to me. I am more interested in where people fit on the personal / financial freedom spectrum??? " G2A
 
"You're the one who keep bringing up LGBT issues, not me. Race may not matter to you, but it does for the people who vote with you. There's a reason this administration treats white nationalists the way it does.
 
Democrats do well in areas with high levels of socioeconomic and demographic diversity. Republicans tend to do well in places that are predominantly white. " Sean
Diversity per Merriam Webster:
  1. the condition of having or being composed of differing elements : variety;  especially : the inclusion of different types of people (such as people of different races or cultures) in a group or organization programs intended to promote diversity in schools
  2. an instance of being composed of differing elements or qualities : an instance of being diverse , a diversity of opinion
 My responses:
  1. I pretty much only bring up topics that are in the news.  LGBT topics still seem to make headlines.  And I don't really care about the LGBT issue as much the balancing of LGBT and Religious rights.
  2. The minorities leaning DEM may simply be an issue of conditioning, not race. I mean the DEMs have spent 60+ years telling these folks that they are victims who need DEM / Government help, of course that kind of brain washing with a huge infusion of  "free money and services" has to have consequences. :-(
  3. As for socio economic diversity, I would argue that the GOP supporters vary just as much.  And their political philosophies vary greatly on social issues and government involvement.
  4. Whereas the DEMs seem to value more government in most cases. (ie regs, taxes, programs, etc)
 
 
 

Sunday, July 1, 2018

Should DEMs ignore Rural MN?

Greta at MinnPost posed and interesting question. "In a statewide election, do candidates really need to bother with Greater Minnesota?" We have been discussing it in G2A Tribes have Misconceptions, but I thought it deserved a post of it's own. Here are a couple of comments from the MP site.
"The problem is that if in statewide races we ignore out state races, we can win the governorship but at the very substantial risk of losing the legislature, which is in fact the situation we are in now. For me, the point of the whole thing isn't to win elections, it's to create a status quo in which my guys can govern effectively. That's why my assessment of the last four years has been that we have failed even though we hold every statewide office." Hiram

"This is why the electoral system and districts are so important for the good of our country. Without them the urban areas could "rule the country" which could lead to some serious and maybe violent conflicts. I prefer a stable peaceful democracy (ie region / state weighted) over a perfect democracy. (ie all votes carry equal weight)" G2A 
"Why is that? Why would the conflicts turn violent? Would there be "serious and maybe violent" conflicts if rural areas "ruled the country?" Why or why not?" RB 
"Rationale: I assume it could go either way. Look at the various riots and protests turned disruptive over the past ~60 years when a sizable minority feels disenfranchised and powerless. That has caused a significant number of deaths and destruction.
Now imagine if the fairly homogeneous high density population centers could force their will across the outer suburbs and rural heartland with no checks / balances. I just could not see it ending well. 
The founding Fathers were smart to ensure everyone had to collaborate and that the high population areas could not just ignore the low population regions. 
Please remember that Germany is one of the larger European countries and it is only about the physical size of MN and WI and has ~8 times the population. A "pure democracy" may work in that small of a space, but across a nation as large and diverse as America. I don't think so." G2A
The question I have been asking is why the DEMs are so focused on things that alienate rural voters. I mean the DEMs seem obsessed with:
  • Increasing welfare and medicare, and fighting against work requirements.
  • Fighting against border security and deporting illegal workers
  • Enabling the death of 2 parent families and marriage
  • Forcing religious business owners to associate closely with LGBT citizens
  • Enabling abortions at any time during the pregnancy
I mean DEMs could get a lot more votes if they would drop some of these extreme positions...  But they are unwilling to do so and may keep losing in rural areas because of it.  And instead of coming back towards the center it seems they may be head further Left.

Friday, June 29, 2018

Trump's Economic Miracle: Not...

I am sad to say that most Trump True Believers will likely believe the charlatan. If you like to live in the real world this is a good Fact Check. AP FACT CHECK: Trump dubs tax cuts an "economic miracle"

I mean it is easy to make the country's economy growth if you are willing to borrow trillions of dollars from our kids. But at least be honest about what you are doing.  This is the same game Dayton and the DEMs did in MN, they passed huge bonding bills and claimed economic success. 

It is easy to grow an economy by borrowing...   Duh... I could go one heck of a spending spree if I was putting it on someone else credit card...
"KUDLOW: "As the economy gears up, more people working, better jobs and careers, those revenues come rolling in, and the deficit, which is one of the other criticisms, is coming down, and it's coming down rapidly." 
THE FACTS: Nope. 
Since the fiscal year started in October, Treasury Department reports show the federal government has recorded a $385.4 billion deficit, a 12 percent jump from the same period in the previous year. 
The Congressional Budget Office was even more blunt in a long-term assessment released Tuesday. 
It estimates that the national debt — the sum of yearly deficits — will be $2.2 trillion higher in 2027 than it had previously forecast, largely a consequence of Trump's 10-year, $1.5 trillion tax cut. The size of the debt could be even higher if provisions of the tax cut that are set to expire are, instead, renewed."
And worse yet Trump wants to double down on this childish behavior.  I say childish because responsible adults pay their bills, they don't charge up their credit card and give the bill to their kids.

A few more interesting links:

From personal experience I can confirm that my employer is not sharing the new found wealth.  And based on most sources this seems typical.

The good news of course is that I am fairly wealthy and benefit from increases in the stock market. However now Trump is working to disrupt that also.