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- John
- I am married and we have 3 adult daughters and a dog. We live in Plymouth MN. My interests are learning, communicating, home improvement projects, motorcycling, boating, and other outside activities. Thank you for reading my blog and have a great day !!!
6 comments:
I think the more likable candidate nearly always wins the presidential election. This will help Obama win a second term despite a weak economy.
I tend to be a poll skeptic. For one thing, I think it's unethical for news organizations to buy them; it's in effect paying for news. For another, given the margin of error, they just don't tell us anything.
==Hiram
I have to agree that Obama seems the more likeable/personable. Romney comes across as more businesslike/distant, for better or worse.
Do you think their +/- 3% is understated?
The polls simply reassured what I was thinking. This is going to be a close race with the swing voters making the call. My Conservative friends are adamant that there will be a huge calling to "throw the bum out". Whereas I think there is a large population of Americans that support Obama's efforts to close the gap between the haves and have nots.
I think the GOP could do well by passing middle class tax cuts, while letting the high end tax cuts lapse. They could secure more middle class votes, while keeping the upper class votes. I mean who else would the rich vote for in our 2 party system?
Bear in mind that margin of error isn't about the variation between the poll and the public, it's the variation between polls. So with a 3% margin of error, we are talking about a 6% spread in a poll that already contains an unreported error simply in choice of polling sample. I just find that pretty worthless.
--Hiram
It is in fact not that difficult to pass middle class tax cuts. Obama did in fact cut taxes for the middle class. For some reason, large numbers of middle class people are under the impression they are paying more in taxes when in fact they are paying less. The problem the GOP has is that it's those high end taxpayers who are funding their party.
--Hiram
off topic question:
How is Romney's economic plan different from that of GWB and why should one think it will be more effective this time?
Mitt: My Plan Differs From Bush’s Because ... Uh
Were the Bush Tax Cuts Good for Growth?
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