Saturday, January 26, 2019

3 Weeks and Counting. What Now?

VOX Is the government going to shut down again in February? Here are 4 scenarios.
The government is reopened for three weeks. What happens next?

What do you think will happen now?

And my same old questions...  G2A What Should Happen at the Border?
Apparently the poor border patrol agents and the system is having to catch and process ~14,000 border violators per month. (~500/day)  This I assume does not include the serious criminals and smuggled goods that evade arrest.  PBS At Yuma Border Crossing

I did some research for good video of the Southern border wall and perspectives.
WSJ Borders Ranchers Torn about Wall
Ranchers Share Experiences with Border Security
The second link has a very informative article below the video.

15 comments:

Anonymous said...

My guess is that Trump will allow funding of the government to resume, and instead will declare a national emergency and try to fund the wall independently of both Mexico and Congress. His initiative will immediately be blocked by the courts, and the president will go on the road and complain about activist federal judges.

--Hiram

Anonymous said...

One way to protect our borders is to act in ways to increase the prosperity of those countries who are sending us immigrants. But can we do that while also maintaining an America First economic policy?

--Hiram

John said...

NAFTA has been in place for decades and we spend billions of dollars a year to support that area.

What more do you want us to do?

Are you thinking we turn them into colonies or something?

More military involvement?

Just send more money into a dysfunctional corrupt system?

Anonymous said...

NAFTA has been in place for decades and we spend billions of dollars a year to support that area.

And Trump tells me how great the economy is doing. NAFTA must be doing something right. And they tell me, immigration is down.

Economically, lots of countries do well in their dealings with us. They are de facto colonies.

More military involvement?

The military is so 20th century. Trump wants to build an anti missile defense, spending hundreds of billions of dollars on the threat we are least likely to face. 21st century power is economic, and those who disarm are the ones who are withdrawing from the world. Like Trump.

I just finished watching the most recent season of Narcos. I have watched them all. The point it makes is that these countries are corrupt because we make them so. If we didn't buy their product, there would be no money in trying to sell it.

--Hiram

John said...

"One way to protect our borders is to act in ways to increase the prosperity of those countries who are sending us immigrants."

I am not interested in Trump's view right now. You make a habit here of criticizing or question the ideas of others, and rarely do you provide any.

I want to read Hiram's ideas for stopping the drug trade and helping these struggling countries.

Anonymous said...

That free trade raises the overall level of prosperity is basic conventional wisdom. It allows people to do what they are most efficient at doing. The problem is that while the benefit is general, the cost is specific. In order for all of us to become a bit more prosperous, some of us are going to get pretty hard. The reason I don't have easy solutions is that there aren't any, merely a vast number of each with it's benefits and it's costs.

Obviously the way to stop the drug trade, or at least it's criminal excesses, is to legalize it. The question is whether we want to or afford to pay the associated costs. The problem is in part political. Powerful forces have huge vested interests in the preservation of the status quo.

--Hiram

John said...

That was perfectly non-committal. :-)

Anonymous said...

Trump says there are 25 million illegal aliens in America. Can we really afford to expel them?

--Hiram

John said...

Back to the questions and NO solutions... Oh well...

Anonymous said...

The solution is to build up the Mexican and Central American economies. The way to stop or at least reduce the deleterious impact of the drug trade is to make drugs legal. Solutions are obvious, it's the politics that's hard. One of many reasons solutions are difficult is that no one agrees on the problems.

==Hiram

Anonymous said...

The problem with trying to stifle free trade is that it requires us to do things which are both expensive and unproductive. Take the wall. It's going to cost a lot of money, and a lot in opportunity costs. But what will it produce? Will the wall ever take a job that no one else wants? Will a wall ever graduate from high school? ButWill a wall ever become a Rhodes Scholar? If we spend money building TrumpWall, doesn't everyone know we will be spending another ton of money tearing it down the next time Democrats are in power?

What protectionists have in mind is freezing the economy, or even returning it to a less efficient past. But what this means is that we will fall behind the global economy, resulting on economic pressures on our borders and in our domestic economy. This makes sense to a guy like Trump whose father's business success was in a closed economy. The amount of New York we have is fixed. No one is building more of it, growth is unattainable. But notice, that represents an extremely small portion of the whole economy. Trump is essentially a small businessman who companies in terms of size are much closer to the corner lemonade stand than they are to, say Starbucks.

--Hiram

John said...

"Solutions are obvious"

Please share.

Anonymous said...

Invest in the third world. Reduce the incentive to come the United States. And legalize or at least greatly reduce the penalties for drug trafficking.

--Hiram

John said...

Who should invest?
How will they ensure the money does not go to a dictator or gang?

Are you saying you would like to legalize cocaine, heroin, meth, pain killers, etc?

How does reducing the penalty for trafficking help the people of Central America?

Anonymous said...

Who should invest?

Business, I suppose. Lots of people have been investing abroad, and it's a reason why immigration is down.

How will they ensure the money does not go to a dictator or gang?

No.

Are you saying you would like to legalize cocaine, heroin, meth, pain killers, etc?

I am against locking people up for it so much.

How does reducing the penalty for trafficking help the people of Central America?

It takes vast sums of money off the table.

--Hiram