Saturday, February 15, 2020

How do DEMS Win Presidency?


Hiram, Laurie, Moose, Sean and myself have been discussing how they feel the rules of the game are SO UNFAIR over on Don't Fear the Bernie.  Eric's piece seems pretty relevant.
"Which leads back to argument No. 1: that the relatively small policy differences within the Democratic field are not of primary importance. Preventing four more years of Trump is of primary importance. And, even if we can’t rely on current polling (or anything else) to tell us clearly which Democratic nominee would maximize that outcome, that’s the goal that matters.
So, fight it out in the primaries and at the convention, sure. But make sure that supporters of Bernie or Pete or Amy or Joe or Mike all keep in mind that it is of the utmost importance that Democrats and persuadable independents of the moderate or far-left variety don’t get so pissed off about not seeing their first choice nominated that they fail to unite behind the last Democrat standing after the convention."
Here was my guidance from the other discussion.
It seems to me that the campaigns are won in mid-size purple states lately. Ohio, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Florida, etc... Now how to win these without supporting racist policies:
  • Support strong border security, policies to dissuade walk up asylum requests and support the removal of illegal residents / workers. There is nothing racist about making people apply and be approved before they can enter and set up residency in the USA.
  • Support policies that minimize abortions after the first trimester. Stop referring to only Mother's rights, and start acknowledging fetal rights.
  • Support the rights of religious organizations and individuals along with LGBQ+, Women's Rights, etc
  • Demand results / improvement from welfare recipients. Stop implying that people are entitled to food, housing, medicine, etc just because they stand on US soil.
  • Start promoting merit / productivity based compensation policies within the public employee workforce. Stop supporting time served / degrees oriented compensation and job security methods.
Unfortunately for them, they seem to think these are too GOP for them...  Thoughts?

Friday, February 14, 2020

Barr May Be Growing a Spine?

Barr blasts Trump's tweets: 'Impossible for me to do my job' (ABC)

Then of course "Emperor Trump" claims that he can interfere where ever he wants. (NYT)

Now McConnell, top Republicans support Barr. Critics are suspicious. (WAPO)

VOX has an interesting related piece. How Justice Scalia paved the way for Trump’s assault on the rule of law. Three words: “the unitary executive.”

Which brings us back to David French's piece... If the President Is Going to Be So Powerful, Can We Ask He Also Be Good?  The need for presidential character has never been greater, while the demand has rarely been smaller.

So does anyone really want the President to be so "Emperor Like"?

The Conservatives seem happy to give the current President everything he wants, and yet are they really willing to set that precedent for the next DEM President?

Maybe they are that short sighted... :-)  The good news is that at last finally a few GOP individuals are starting to push back against the "Emperor" and remind him that he is actually just another lowly public servant that must play by the rules.  Now if only more will do that we will be in a much better place.

And on a related note. Now Trump reverses story and says that he sent Giuliani to Ukraine. (Fox)  I asked some Conservatives how they can believe in what Trump says, when he lies so often?  I did not get a reply.

Tuesday, February 11, 2020

Third World Dictatorship

Graft, corruption and personal favors all seem to be present in the Trump Presidency...
Now we have:
I am still very sad the the GOP is not calling out this "swamp" for what it is... :-( 
This comic is so sadly true...  Apparently the President can now have our government officials investigate his political rivals in a very partisan manner according to the Trump True Believers.

Sunday, February 9, 2020

Retaliation by Trump

This seems so wrong, since we the tax payers want government personnel to tell us when they think politicians are doing something questionable or illegal. That is why we have judges and other systems to review and deal with these concerns.

Without this our system becomes susceptible to corruption and other breaches of the public trust.

For you Trump True Believers, how would you take it of Obama started to fire any public employees who questioned his behavior or reported possible wrong doings? 

Are you really supportive of politicians intimidating "OUR EMPLOYEES"?  Please remember that they work for the US Citizens, not another of our employees who envisions himself to be some kind of King who can put heads on pikes to keep his dealings secretive.  Our maybe that is what you want?

Here is a very disturbing piece by David French that has put his finger on the problem. :-(

If the President Is Going to Be So Powerful, Can We Ask He Also Be Good?

Tax Payers Pay FULL Price at Trump Hotels

From Sean...  Sorry for the delay in getting it out, I was on planes heading to lovely smoggy New Delhi. At least it is cooler than during my Summer visits..
"I did find something that Mr. Anti-Corruption Guy might want to look into...

WaPo:Secret Service has paid rates as high as $650 a night for rooms at Trump’s properties

Details like this seem important:

"The full extent of the Secret Service’s payments to Trump’s company is not known. The
Secret Service has not listed them in public databases of federal spending, as is usually
required for payments over $10,000."

and

"The Secret Service is required to tell Congress twice a year about what it spends to protect Trump at his properties.

But since 2016, it has only filed two of the required six reports, according to congressional offices. The reasons, according to Secret Service officials: key personnel left and nobody picked up the job.

Even in those two reports, the lines for Bedminster and Mar-a-Lago were blank."

and

"Also: Why did the Secret Service spend so much at Trump’s D.C. hotel, a place where — unlike Bedminster and Mar-a-Lago — Trump has not stayed overnight since taking office? In response to records request from NBC News, the Department of Homeland Security released a listing of 39 payments there during Trump’s first year, totaling $159,000."

 

Thursday, February 6, 2020

Unapologetic Trump Apparently Learned Nothing

VOX Trump strikes a bitterly vindictive tone during National Prayer Breakfast speech
He showed up waving around a newspaper that read “ACQUITTED” — and things didn’t get more prayerful from there.

USA Today 5 things we learned (and still don't know) after the Trump impeachment saga

G2A Timeline of Events
Trump Attacks Romney

Apparently the usually "law and order" and "government / politicians" need to be transparent Conservatives are now okay with people "getting off" on process technicalities and politicians keeping their documents and witnesses hidden.  Who da thunk. :-(

And Trump is overjoyed by this change.  It will be interesting to see how bad his next abuse will be and how far the Conservatives will let him go....

I had one on FB justify his unwavering support of Trump because the DEMs were worse...  Like there are not any good GOP candidates who are actually honest?  He also thought I was a Democrat since I am against a lying sleazy GOP politician...  It is SO SAD... :-(

Wednesday, February 5, 2020

Romney Rocks

Romney Speech Regarding Impeachment

We really screwed up by not electing him President. :-(

Though I am sure he is somewhat of a pariah right now within Trump's GOP.  The good news for him is he is a very rich man who can sleep assured that he kept his vow in front of God to be impartial.

Unlike a lot of the Senators on both sides. (mostly on the GOP) :-)


State of the Union Fact Checks

I could not make myself watch Trump mislead America, so I figured I would just read the fact checks... :-)

NPR SOTU Fact Check
AP SOTU Fact Check
USA Today SOTU Fact Check
Fact Checker SOTU
PBS AP Fact Check
Busn Insider 3 False Claims

And of course the DEMs are upset and the GOPers are upset with Pelosi and not willing to fact check Trump...  And all the while ignoring that the Trump policies are creating UNSUSTAINABLE MASSIVE DEBT..

I mean any idiot can spur an economic boom through excessive borrowing. (ie low taxes , high spend)  Where are the responsible fiscal conservatives?  Maybe Trump sucked their brains out their ears or something...

PGPF Debt Problem

Monday, February 3, 2020

Friday, January 31, 2020

Acquit, Censure or Remove

WAPO Alexander Criticizes Trump... But No Witnesses...

FOX Murkowski Comes Out against Witnesses

NYT Trump told Bolton to Help

So I am pretty sure everybody understands fully that:
"Trump manipulated / harassed State department personnel and Withheld Tax Payer money from an approved purpose in order to get the Ukranian government to investigate the Cloudstrike conspiracy and the possible Biden situation.  With some of his intent being to smear the DNC and his leading 2020 Presidential rival."

So having more witnesses is somewhat pointless, which is what the Senate will vote to do very soon.

Now the question will be, what should the Senators do next?
1. Acquit Trump. (ie state his behavior was fine)
2. Censure Trump (ie state that we expect better from our President)
3. Remove Trump from office


I assume 3 is off the table and my favorite #2 is unlikely given how scared the GOP is of Trump and his True Believers. :-(  It is a sad day if he walks without even an official reprimand. :-(

For you Trump True Believers, please remember that if you let Trump do it without adverse consequences.  More politicians will think they can use your tax dollars and civil servants to stay in office. "For the good of the country." :-(

 

Wednesday, January 29, 2020

How to Help Poor Kids Learn?

NPR Supreme Court Could be Headed to a Major Unraveling of Public School Funding

A FB Friend posted the above link with the comment. "The attempt to theocratize America continues." And the first commenter wrote. "So sick of religious zealots stealing from the public to fund their indoctrination centers. People want to segregate their children from poor people let them pay to do that."

Then I added the following and we were off to the races... "As for segregating their children, millions of very Liberal people do that daily by "moving to better neighborhood", enrolling in a magnet / charter school, open enrolling to a different district, etc. Why should Christians who pay a LOT of these taxes be forced to pay even more to attend a school that is aligned with their beliefs? Especially since many of the public schools have been forced to become so sterile / no religion / fewer parties / events? Why again should all of our tax payer dollars only go to support a near monopolistic system that refuses to measure, change and improve?

Well I never did get very much for answers, but the original poster did take the time to write a lot regarding his perspective... And I am curious what you think?

In 1991 I was a college graduate. Stung by the poor job outlook in 1991, I looked into going to work for the Federal Government. They had a program called the Outstanding Scholar program for college grads who met certain criteria, and it put you on a fast track to move up the first few paygrades in federal employment. Shortly after graduation, I was offered a position supporting the CFO for the US Department of Education (ED) In Washington, DC. At the time, I was a young moderate to conservative Republican who thought I knew everything (as is typical for the age) and I was excited to work in and around all the action in DC.  
About that same time, Governor Lamar Alexander, of Tennessee, was appointed Education Secretary by then president George H.W. Bush. After a history of conservatives bashing ED and wanting to shut it down (think William Bennett), Bush and Alexander believed that education is a priority and that the Federal Government did have a role in influencing education to make it competitive with the rest of the world.  
Around that same time, ED adopted "America 2000", a set of education goals developed in a joint, bipartisan effort including the President and all of the nation's governors. It included six education goals. I do recall a couple of them: All students start school ready to learn, and a graduation rate of 90%. These were goals that the Government wanted to help the nation accomplish by the year 2000. We were all very excited about these goals, and the bipartisan way in which they came to be. And state and local schools would get funding from the Federal Government tied to adopting America 2000 and putting together plans to meet the goals. It seemed like a win-win proposition for everyone.  
In 1992, Bill Clinton won the presidency and appointed Richard Riley as the Education secretary. I didn't know what to expect because I had really only known Republican administrations in my lifetime at that point, and I did not vote for Bill Clint on in 1992, nor did I vote for Mike Dukakis in 1988. As it turned out, it was a lot of the same. Bill Clinton had been one of the governors who had developed the national education goals, so they repackaged America 2000 and called it Goals 2000. They were largely the same with some changes.  
Over the next several years I got the opportunity to interact with some of the education gurus who came in to help promote the national education agenda, including Diane Ravitch (who was so well respected she was appointed under both administrations), who was appointed by Secretary Riley to serve as a member of the National Assessment Governing Board, which supervises the National Assessment of Educational Progress. She was also an early proponent of "No Child Left Behind", which was the repackaging of America 2000 and Goals 2000 by the new George W. Bush Administration in 2002.  
What happened from there, however, is really where problems began to develop. School districts became so focused on achieving the benchmarks dictated by the goals, in order to get the Federal money, that it changed teaching. I had left the Federal Government by then and had moved into working for Federal contractors in various roles. But I knew A LOT of teachers and I was married to one. They made up the vast majority of our social circle and many, many family members and extended family members as well. The joy and passion of teaching became harder for them to find. What they had been educated and trained to do, to inspire students to learn, became less important than meeting test score targets. There was pressure to not fail students who were poor performers because of graduation targets. Teachers, talented and passionate about education and learning and seeing their students succeed (not about pay), began to leave teaching.  
Charter schools started to become a big thing, utilizing public education money to, in essence, create private schools where they could admit only the top performers and keep out poor performers. Then they started showing better test results (shocking). So they gained more traction.  
Now what do we have? Schools still failing, still too may children being left behind. National standards that have bastardized and corrupted real education, the politicizing of education funds by far right interests who believe in this farce of "liberal indoctrination" (I can assure you that if it's not tied to the national education standards, it's not being taught).  
And, if you take the time to read any of Diane Ravitch's retrospective (she has written and blogged a lot on this subject) on the national goals and standardized testing she helped create and promote, you will see that she now regrets it. She regrets what it has become, and regrets school choice, too. All things she promoted and was considered instrumental in starting at the federal level. She recognizes now that the best predictor of poor school performance is poverty. She now focuses her efforts on addressing poverty and racial segregation.  
The attacks on teachers, teacher unions, etc. that you have bought into John, are all done for political gain. The real "fix" is all about having schools where all children have the same opportunity to learn, regardless of their socioeconomic status or their race. The national standards have failed to address those fundamental causes of poor achievement. Attacking teacher unions doesn't address those either.  
Addressing the causes of poverty and racial inequality are likely going to gain the best traction toward improving educational achievement. If you want to really "Give to attain", John, then work toward influencing people to take up the cause of poverty and racial disparity in our country. Vote for the candidates who have plans to do this. Look for constructive solutions instead of looking to blame those who are in the trenches fighting the good fight every day. Vote for politicians and support organizations who are most committed to addressing poverty and racial inequality.

 
Here were my initial thoughts in response:
As for brief immediate answers... You now have stepped into the chicken vs egg problem because correlation does not mean causation... Poverty in and of itself does not cause failure in school, therefore giving people more money will not necessarily yield better results... It is the things that cause poverty that often drive poor academic results. Un / undereducated parent(s), irresponsible / neglectful parent(s), single parent, high crime neighborhoods, cultures that do not value education, addicted parent(s), racism, etc.  
I know many low income folk who's kids did great in school, but that was because they had 2 parents who were serious about their child learning. (much like my friends in China and South Korea)  
The US Education system was created to lift people out of poverty. To say that we must eliminate poverty to make it work is very counter-intuitive and counter-productive.  
As for "the teachers are stressed" because their kids must learn... Halleulia !!! I am stressed because I must deliver everyday or my bosses will give me the boot. That does not mean that I hold it against my bosses that performance is why I am paid each month. It is nice to enjoy one's job, but it is also healthy to be pushed to learn and perform even better!!! Don't the kids deserve to learn each day and to be ready at 18 to be independent capable citizens?

In summary, the folks commenting in opposition to me believed the answer to closing the achievement gap was to go back to 1990, stop the testing, give the Publics Schools ever more money, get rid of the public charters and stay out their education system. In fact, I was in essence berated for even weighing in on the topic since I am not a teacher.  Here was the list from one of them.
 
If you want to build a better education system in this country. 
  • pay teachers better and support them 100% 
  • hire people that actually have experience in education that make policy for education. 
  • treat every school equal, and give every student the same opportunities.
  • poor people vote to. Stop making policy that rewards the rich families.
To that my response and questions were.  In MN we do not treat every school equally. The schools that get the most money by far are the schools with the most challenging student demographics. It may still not be enough but it exceeds $20,000 per student. And they still have the worst academic results.
  1. So how much should we raise that amount to?
  2. How much will the achievement increase?
  3. What should happen if the money is spent and things do not change substantially?
  4. Do we just keep increasing the funding or do we promote competition?
Thoughts on this chaotic long piece?


Here are some of the many links from these and other parts of the exchange.
Politico History of NCLB
NEA's Response to Race to the Top
G2A Blame vs Contributions
G2A Why are Poor People Poor?
MW Definition of Teach
BTA Economists Ate My School
G2A How to Win the War on Poverty
G2A AYP, NCLB, PDCA
MinnPost MPLS Data Teacher Equity by School
Wiki Public Employee Union History
VOX SCOTUS on School Funding
CSM SCOTUS on School Funding
Diana Ravitch Blog
Forbes Texas vs California




Tuesday, January 28, 2020

Thank Heavens for Witnesses?

WSJ GOP Doesn't Now Have Votes to Block Witnesses

Politico Trump team warns vulnerable senators: Stand strong or prepare for an endless trial

AP FACT CHECK: Trump wrong on Bolton; more claims from trial

FactCheck False Claim Ukraine Got Aid ‘Before Schedule’

PBS Dershowitz Argument against Impeachment

Politico Trump finds nearly unwavering loyalty from Republicans after Dem case

It seems to me that censuring Trump's behavior would be common sense off ramp, however that seems unlikely since he has no interest in apologizing.

“It’s a very serious matter and I’m listening in a respectful way,” said Collins, who has already signaled that she may vote for additional witnesses to be called. “I’ve filled up 25 pages of notes on my legal pad and I pay very close attention.”
But for the rest of the party there’s almost no interest in even inching toward a rebuke of Trump. There’s definitely no attempt to censure the president or propose some other formal condemnation short of impeachment. To Republicans, there’s no point trying to concede Trump did anything wrong — a far cry from Democrats’ denunciation of President Bill Clinton’s behavior during his 1999 impeachment trial.
“Our job is not to evaluate in great detail what happened. Our job at this point is to evaluate whether it’s impeachable or not,” said Sen. Roy Blunt (R-Mo.). “And I don’t see minds changing on that, including mine.”
MinnPost How would you feel if Trump had apologized for his behavior toward Ukraine?